Champion Scaling and Late Game Strength

Patch 26.20 Emerald+

The strongest late game champions right now are Braum, Akshan, Jinx. The strongest early game champions are Locke, Thresh, Qiyana.

How each champion's win rate moves as the game gets longer. The scaling column is the slope of that line: how many percentage points the win rate gains every 10 minutes.

Lane

Hardest scaling

Win rate climbs the most as the game goes long.

points / 10 min

Needs to close early

Win rate falls the most as the game goes long.

points / 10 min

Strongest late game

Highest win rate in games that reach 35 minutes.

Strongest early game

Highest win rate in games that end before 25 minutes.

172 champions
Soraka 1.355 49.8% 42.6% 54.3%+11.76+4.50 Twitch 1.480 46.5% 44.3% 56.3%+12.06+4.37 Yuumi 1.636 48.8% 43.1% 52.4%+9.38+4.24 Milio 1.927 47.1% 42.5% 47.6%+5.10+4.14 Fiddlesticks 730 52.7% 45.1% 58.0%+12.89+4.08 Maokai 728 51.8% 47.2% 64.5%+17.35+3.94 Akshan 943 51.7% 46.1% 67.4%+21.34+3.93 Kassadin 992 50.6% 41.7% 50.0%+8.25+3.93 Bel'Veth 745 48.3% 43.3% 52.8%+9.53+3.74 Kayle 873 52.5% 44.9% 54.2%+9.31+3.63 Smolder 1.459 46.2% 41.3% 53.3%+12.00+3.62 Vayne 1.397 49.5% 45.7% 52.1%+6.39+3.37 Wukong 2.345 53.7% 49.9% 54.9%+4.99+3.35 Yorick 730 47.5% 45.0% 58.7%+13.72+3.29 Annie 567 48.5% 42.1% 47.9%+5.81+3.25 Aurelion Sol 896 49.4% 45.5% 60.3%+14.88+3.25 Ashe 1.581 47.3% 43.3% 47.4%+4.09+3.11 Teemo 1.241 52.9% 48.6% 57.2%+8.64+3.03 Yunara 3.102 48.3% 43.7% 48.3%+4.61+2.98 Ornn 1.219 50.9% 44.8% 55.2%+10.33+2.92 Rengar 1.358 49.5% 44.4% 58.1%+13.70+2.63 Dr. Mundo 999 51.6% 46.8% 59.3%+12.51+2.60 Kha'Zix 2.113 47.4% 43.1% 49.2%+6.13+2.56 Sona 937 50.3% 47.2% 53.7%+6.48+2.52 Vladimir 1.924 51.1% 48.2% 56.1%+7.90+2.52 Neeko 773 51.1% 45.5% 55.1%+9.53+2.49 Poppy 974 50.3% 48.3% 54.5%+6.18+2.47 Veigar 1.192 51.4% 48.4% 53.8%+5.39+2.40 Braum 1.660 54.9% 54.5% 62.4%+7.81+2.38 Cho'Gath 2.847 49.3% 46.6% 51.4%+4.75+2.27 Vi 1.177 47.3% 45.3% 50.3%+5.02+2.27 Malzahar 1.384 48.6% 45.0% 53.4%+8.33+2.18 Aphelios 2.706 48.7% 47.3% 51.8%+4.50+2.13 Zaahen 852 48.5% 42.9% 49.5%+6.63+2.08 Lucian 2.813 46.0% 44.5% 47.2%+2.67+1.94 Rakan 1.445 50.1% 48.9% 53.6%+4.70+1.90 Graves 2.169 48.0% 46.1% 48.9%+2.77+1.89 Lissandra 1.563 52.3% 49.9% 53.7%+3.77+1.84 Xerath 1.706 49.7% 49.9% 53.1%+3.22+1.82 Seraphine 1.969 49.9% 47.6% 49.1%+1.45+1.77 Shaco 1.344 49.6% 49.7% 57.2%+7.50+1.74 Gwen 1.368 52.3% 51.4% 54.1%+2.73+1.73 Rumble 686 52.3% 47.7% 50.0%+2.32+1.69 Rek'Sai 702 51.6% 48.5% 51.3%+2.83+1.64 Riven 966 49.9% 44.8% 49.5%+4.68+1.62 Gnar 1.068 48.2% 47.8% 55.0%+7.18+1.62 Zeri 1.770 54.0% 52.6% 54.0%+1.40+1.51 Renata Glasc 658 50.8% 46.6% 53.3%+6.78+1.46 Skarner 551 50.1% 46.6% 53.8%+7.21+1.44 Caitlyn 3.528 48.0% 46.0% 48.2%+2.20+1.37 Garen 1.679 50.3% 50.4% 55.9%+5.53+1.32 Kog'Maw 1.035 53.7% 51.8% 57.7%+5.91+1.31 Darius 1.711 47.9% 46.1% 51.0%+4.81+1.25 Syndra 2.855 49.2% 47.1% 49.3%+2.21+1.23 Viego 2.158 48.6% 46.0% 49.6%+3.55+1.22 Renekton 1.530 47.6% 44.4% 47.5%+3.08+1.20 Galio 1.695 47.9% 46.9% 48.9%+1.97+1.20 Nautilus 3.297 49.6% 48.8% 51.8%+3.05+1.12 Kindred 1.021 49.3% 48.3% 52.7%+4.44+1.11 Sett 1.371 49.8% 47.1% 47.3%+0.20+0.96 Ryze 918 44.9% 41.2% 41.3%+0.09+0.95 Fizz 1.197 51.2% 51.0% 47.4%-3.59+0.88 Shyvana 1.114 48.9% 47.7% 50.8%+3.13+0.87 Rammus 559 55.1% 50.7% 56.2%+5.45+0.86 Nunu & Willump 629 49.1% 46.8% 44.4%-2.31+0.80 Zyra 1.122 52.9% 52.7% 52.6%-0.08+0.80 Lillia 1.513 51.4% 49.5% 50.3%+0.81+0.79 Nocturne 871 48.9% 44.6% 46.4%+1.81+0.77 Orianna 947 48.2% 47.3% 45.9%-1.44+0.77 Nasus 1.314 47.0% 45.0% 52.1%+7.07+0.69 Nami 2.455 50.4% 49.6% 50.9%+1.31+0.68 Singed 873 52.1% 53.6% 53.2%-0.43+0.63 Trundle 560 46.8% 44.3% 51.3%+6.97+0.58 Naafiri 1.082 47.8% 47.3% 42.7%-4.58+0.56 Corki 1.012 47.8% 48.0% 47.2%-0.81+0.56 Anivia 1.132 51.6% 52.2% 52.5%+0.21+0.40 Quinn 750 50.7% 49.4% 50.5%+1.15+0.34 Karthus 926 53.1% 54.2% 61.4%+7.25+0.31 Jhin 5.037 49.1% 49.5% 51.3%+1.88+0.26 Kai'Sa 4.735 50.4% 50.6% 50.5%-0.14+0.26 Karma 2.302 48.7% 49.5% 47.7%-1.84+0.24 Zac 1.025 50.2% 48.7% 50.0%+1.30+0.24 Sion 1.178 50.3% 49.7% 46.8%-2.92+0.22 Lulu 3.917 50.1% 50.5% 49.8%-0.72+0.10 Pantheon 2.381 50.5% 49.9% 51.0%+1.05+0.09 Bard 1.771 50.4% 48.1% 47.1%-1.02+0.02 Twisted Fate 1.482 50.0% 50.5% 49.7%-0.80-0.06 Xin Zhao 669 53.8% 54.8% 52.1%-2.77-0.11 Senna 1.587 50.7% 51.6% 49.5%-2.08-0.14 Fiora 1.691 52.1% 52.3% 52.3%+0.03-0.17 Jinx 4.034 53.4% 54.0% 55.7%+1.73-0.18 Sivir 1.156 51.1% 52.9% 53.4%+0.48-0.20 Tahm Kench 1.117 50.3% 52.0% 53.0%+1.00-0.20 Camille 2.264 49.0% 48.0% 43.9%-4.09-0.21 Alistar 2.017 52.2% 52.0% 50.0%-2.02-0.24 Miss Fortune 1.167 46.8% 45.9% 42.9%-2.94-0.29 Ahri 2.649 50.2% 48.9% 47.5%-1.41-0.32 Heimerdinger 468 50.9% 47.8% 48.6%+0.82-0.35 Blitzcrank 1.867 53.3% 52.8% 56.0%+3.22-0.42 Briar 1.135 46.7% 44.3% 48.8%+4.48-0.44 Mordekaiser 1.488 49.1% 50.3% 49.5%-0.83-0.45 Tristana 3.680 51.8% 51.4% 47.6%-3.75-0.48 Zed 2.843 51.2% 51.9% 50.9%-1.00-0.59 Azir 522 47.1% 46.4% 37.3%-9.04-0.66 Sylas 4.535 48.3% 48.6% 46.7%-1.94-0.67 Kennen 889 47.6% 47.0% 47.8%+0.76-0.67 Malphite 2.198 51.5% 54.3% 52.2%-2.16-0.68 Yone 4.933 51.0% 51.9% 49.6%-2.31-0.72 Vex 874 52.5% 51.7% 49.0%-2.68-0.73 Ambessa 1.765 48.1% 49.4% 48.3%-1.12-0.73 Samira 831 51.0% 50.2% 52.6%+2.38-0.83 Gragas 1.361 51.9% 52.0% 52.8%+0.72-0.94 Gangplank 1.557 50.6% 50.6% 46.4%-4.18-0.98 Viktor 3.394 50.2% 50.8% 48.1%-2.69-0.98 Leona 2.265 51.2% 52.1% 48.0%-4.13-0.98 Olaf 1.241 49.4% 50.1% 54.7%+4.59-1.03 Taric 426 51.6% 54.5% 56.4%+1.86-1.04 Urgot 828 51.2% 53.3% 47.0%-6.32-1.05 Lux 2.241 49.6% 53.0% 49.3%-3.71-1.07 Zilean 1.042 51.4% 50.8% 51.6%+0.79-1.10 Aurora 1.240 51.0% 52.2% 51.2%-0.97-1.13 Swain 1.513 47.6% 49.4% 46.6%-2.85-1.16 Draven 1.527 50.7% 51.9% 46.4%-5.48-1.22 Rell 1.735 52.0% 53.3% 52.3%-1.02-1.23 Warwick 1.085 52.3% 54.6% 53.8%-0.73-1.24 Volibear 1.308 46.0% 48.9% 46.2%-2.67-1.38 Master Yi 1.554 52.5% 52.9% 53.7%+0.81-1.41 LeBlanc 1.799 50.5% 54.0% 48.6%-5.43-1.44 Vel'Koz 997 52.0% 55.6% 51.9%-3.74-1.48 Tryndamere 963 49.9% 50.4% 48.7%-1.71-1.53 Brand 816 49.9% 49.5% 45.1%-4.36-1.57 Varus 1.134 48.0% 50.9% 46.4%-4.52-1.57 Ivern 500 54.2% 56.2% 39.7%-16.56-1.58 Shen 1.442 51.5% 52.7% 50.3%-2.43-1.64 Talon 2.652 51.6% 52.0% 45.2%-6.84-1.66 Katarina 2.134 50.1% 53.1% 47.0%-6.09-1.70 Pyke 1.681 49.7% 49.9% 47.5%-2.39-1.72 Jax 2.029 49.9% 52.1% 48.4%-3.75-1.72 Evelynn 649 51.5% 56.0% 50.0%-6.04-1.80 Jarvan IV 1.849 48.3% 48.7% 42.4%-6.36-1.82 Hwei 1.617 50.8% 53.7% 48.6%-5.14-1.84 Xayah 1.647 51.4% 53.5% 50.3%-3.15-1.87 Mel 812 45.6% 52.9% 46.1%-6.82-1.89 Kled 548 50.5% 54.3% 45.1%-9.17-1.93 Aatrox 1.977 49.0% 50.6% 48.0%-2.67-1.94 Kayn 1.981 50.0% 53.1% 49.6%-3.47-1.97 Taliyah 1.152 50.9% 54.5% 52.2%-2.26-2.02 Cassiopeia 811 47.1% 49.8% 34.6%-15.25-2.02 Janna 1.978 50.8% 55.6% 54.0%-1.65-2.05 K'Sante 1.396 46.8% 50.1% 42.7%-7.44-2.14 Yasuo 4.059 51.6% 54.3% 47.4%-6.83-2.15 Morgana 1.136 47.3% 53.7% 47.6%-6.01-2.17 Sejuani 670 46.1% 47.4% 40.0%-7.42-2.20 Illaoi 628 48.7% 54.4% 45.7%-8.79-2.21 Ekko 2.951 50.4% 53.6% 49.7%-3.90-2.23 Amumu 561 52.0% 54.4% 43.8%-10.54-2.24 Diana 1.985 49.8% 54.3% 47.2%-7.10-2.26 Akali 2.487 50.1% 52.3% 49.1%-3.22-2.35 Hecarim 1.673 49.7% 52.4% 47.5%-4.90-2.47 Qiyana 3.488 50.6% 54.8% 51.8%-3.04-2.51 Jayce 2.727 47.9% 50.6% 40.9%-9.75-2.67 Ziggs 687 50.7% 52.2% 42.9%-9.38-2.67 Elise 1.586 50.9% 53.4% 48.2%-5.23-2.67 Ezreal 3.079 45.4% 48.1% 43.9%-4.25-2.84 Thresh 4.201 52.2% 54.9% 51.4%-3.48-2.88 Udyr 826 49.6% 54.6% 45.2%-9.45-2.99 Lee Sin 3.996 50.4% 52.7% 45.9%-6.76-3.37 Zoe 1.350 51.1% 54.5% 50.6%-3.86-3.43 Kalista 1.598 49.2% 52.6% 39.9%-12.76-3.45 Irelia 2.241 49.6% 54.1% 45.3%-8.77-3.50 Nidalee 1.317 50.9% 54.0% 35.3%-18.61-3.96 Locke 3.077 50.5% 56.1% 49.5%-6.57-5.41

How this is measured

A weighted line is fitted to each champion's win rate minute by minute, and the slope is shown as points per 10 minutes. The baseline is exactly 50% at every minute, because every game writes five winners and five losers into the same duration bucket. Early means games that ended before minute 25, late means games that reached minute 35.

The shrinkage is measured, not chosen. Across the champions listed here the observed spread of slopes is 3.54 points and pure measurement noise accounts for 2.28, which leaves a real spread of 2.71 points. Each champion's slope is pulled towards zero in proportion to its own sample, so a thin sample cannot reach the top of the list.

172 champions were tested and 8 of them clear three standard errors. Values that do not clear it are printed faded: with this many champions, a two sigma rule would produce about eight false positives by chance alone.

Game length is an outcome, not a setting. A champion that wins early ends those games early, so most of its long games are games it was already losing. This curve therefore measures closing ability as well as raw strength: the late column answers "what happens if I reach minute 35 on this champion", not "how strong is this champion at minute 35".

Level 1 and laning strength are not measured here. The early column is about whole games that ended quickly, not about the first minutes; for lane by lane numbers see the counters page of each champion.